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Placeholder for the Risk Graph

No more Latin!

But what does “risk” really mean? Risk is confusing. It can be hard to understand how likely it is that a particular thing might happen to you. So let’s play a little game of…

“What are the Odds?”

Guess which one is more likely.

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Losing your life on a rollercoaster?

Nope! You’re more likely to just lose your lunch. Only a 1 in 300 million chance.

or

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Getting a deadly blow from a falling coconut?

Yep! You have about a 1 in 270 million chance of death by coconut. Enjoy your tropical vacation!

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Death by cow?

Nope! Your odds of getting murdered by a cow are only 1 in 164 million. Mooove along.

or

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A fatal encounter with a vending machine?

Yep! You have a 1 in 112 million chance of dying in a vending machine-related accident — probably worth the risk for that bag of chips, though.

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Getting attacked by a bear?

Yep! You have a 1 in 2.1 million chance that your encounter with a bear will be… unbearable.

or

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Getting stung to death by murder hornets?

Nope! You only have a 1 in 2.5 million chance that murder hornets will do you in. And that’s only if you live in Japan. For now.

Getting pulverized by an asteroid?

Nope! You only have a 1 in 1,600,000 chance of the sky falling, Chicken Little.

or

Falling off a cruise ship?

Yep! You have a 1 in 850,000 chance of falling overboard. Bon Voyage!

Getting injured by a toilet?

Yep! You have a 1 in 10,000 chance of a toilet-related injury. Don’t say we didn’t warn you.

or

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Being struck by lightning?

Nope! You only have a 1 in 15,300 chance of being struck by lightning. Don’t forget your key and kite!

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Being born left-handed?

Nope! You only have a 1 in 10 chance of being a lefty (and struggling with zippers, and scissors, and can openers…).

or

Getting breast cancer?

Yes. 1 out of every 8 women will develop breast cancer in her lifetime. Alcohol increases your risk.

Besides skin cancer, breast cancer is the most commonly diagnosed cancer among American women. About 1 in 8 women will develop invasive breast cancer in her lifetime. Alcohol increases that risk.

What does it mean to you?

Stay in Touch

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This research was supported by funds from the California Breast Cancer Research Program, of the University of California, Grant Number 25 QB-0500.

Between 4-10% of breast cancer cases each year are thought to be due to alcohol use (we got this estimate from this paper). We used the middle of that range—7%—and multiplied it by 276,480, the estimated number of new breast cancer cases in 2020 (we got this estimate here). That equals 19,354.